Launch Liquidity Planner
Model whether a planned token launch can withstand early selling, unlocked holder exposure and incentive-linked selling before liquidity goes live.
Start with a launch style, then adjust the assumptions.
Choose a preset to learn the planner, or enter your own estimates. Basic mode contains the decisions that drive the verdict; Advanced mode contains calculation helpers and AMM assumptions.
Design a launch scenario
Enter dollar-value estimates for the pool and the selling it must withstand.
Seed liquidity
Set the initial pool size and the ordinary early sale it should handle.
Total value of both sides of the starting pool.
One realistic early sale the pool should absorb.
The largest modeled decline you accept from a single tested pressure.
Unlocked holder risk
Model a sellable wallet that could exit soon after launch.
Total value of unlocked tradable supply, not the token price.
Exclude liquidity contracts and genuinely locked or vested balances.
Launch incentives
Account for rewards that may turn into immediate selling.
Organic buys are weekly demand not funded by rewards or treasury spending.
Launch readiness verdict
Fragile planned launch
One or more plausible selling sources could materially destabilize this pool.
Scenario being tested
Seed $10,000 in balanced liquidity; test an early $500 sale, a holder sale of $313, and $50.00 of net weekly incentive selling.Biggest risk driver
Early sale
-17.31%
Modeled from one early participant selling the amount you entered, equal to $500 of selling.
-17.31%
$500 ordinary early-sale test.
-11.39%
$313 modeled unlocked-holder sale.
-1.96%
$50.00 net weekly selling pressure.
Personalized action plan
The modeled launch is vulnerable before ordinary trading pressure is considered. The first priority is to reduce the largest modeled source of selling or increase balanced launch liquidity.
- 1Increase initial balanced liquidity or reduce the largest early sale your launch is expected to absorb.
- 2To keep each individual modeled pressure within your 5.00% target through liquidity alone, add approximately $28,378 of balanced liquidity.
- 3Avoid stacking unlocked rewards and large allocations during the initial liquidity window; multiple selling sources close together may overwhelm the pool.
This planner models a balanced constant-product AMM pool using dollar-value assumptions. Concentrated liquidity, bonding curves, taxes, volatile token prices, MEV and real trading behavior can produce different launch outcomes.